物流便利性促进农村经济发展优化建模仿真  

Optimization Modeling and Simulation of Logistics Convenience to Promote Rural Economic Development

作　　者：彭文治 黄蕾 

机构地区：[1]景德镇陶瓷大学工商学院,江西景德镇333403

出　　处：《计算机仿真》2016年第11期438-442,共5页Computer Simulation

基　　金：江西省科技支撑计划(2012ZBBE50026)

摘　　要：物流便利性促进农村经济发展优化建模,可以对物流便利性和农村经济发展之间的关系进行合理的分析。提取物流便利性对农村经济产生影响的特征指标是进行物流便利性促进农村经济发展建模的基础,但是传统方法依据边际分析理论获取地区物流优势对农村地区的经济发展促进作用影响因素,无法提取物流便利性对农村经济产生影响的特征指标,降低了促进农村经济发展建模精度,提出一种采用格兰杰因果检验的物流便利性促进农村经济发展优化建模方法。上述模型先从历史农村经济发展的角度获取物流发展状况,得到农村物流便利性发展可持续因子,从农村经济行业的各个角度阐述了物流便利给农村经济带来的影响,组建基于关联性的灰色物流便利性与农村经济发展的关系矩阵,依据格兰杰因果检验理论对物流便利性与农村经济之间的关联性和影响程度进行检验,利用检验的结果组建了物流便利性对农村经济发展的促进作用模型。仿真结果表明,所提模型可以精确地统计出物流便利性对农村经济发展的促进作用。An optimization modeling method for promotion of logistics convenience on rural economic development is proposed by using the Granger causality. Firstly, the logistics development state is gained from the point of historical rural economic development to obtain sustainable factor. The effect of logistics convenience on rural economic is elaborated from all aspects of rural economic development. Then the relationship matrix of gray logistics convenience and rural economic development is built, and the relatedness and effect degree are tested according to the Granger causality. Finally, the model for promotion of logistics convenience on rural economic development is built by using the test results. The simulation results show that the model mentioned above can make accurate statistics to the promotion of logistics convenience on rural economic development.

关 键 词：物流便利性 农村经济发展 促进作用建模 

分 类 号：F252[经济管理—国民经济]