城市育龄流动人口生育意愿调查及其影响因素分析  

A survey on fertility desire among the floating population of reproductive age in Beijing

作　　者：周颖[1] 孙亚坤 李玉艳[1] 于传宁[1,3] 韩颖 李亦然[1] 赵瑞[1] 纪红蕾[1] 武俊青[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海市计划生育科学研究所,国家人口计生委计划生育药具重点实验室,200237 [2]北京市东城区卫生和计划生育委员会 [3]复旦大学

出　　处：《中国计划生育学杂志》2016年第11期744-747,共4页Chinese Journal of Family Planning

基　　金：国家十二五科技支撑计划(2012BAI32B08)

摘　　要：目的：了解城市育龄流动人口的生育意愿，为完善流动人口计划生育管理提供参考依据。方法：基于2012年开展的国家十二五科技支撑计划项目的调查数据，进行统计分析。结果：共调查1972人，其中1730人（87．7％）期望在23～28岁生育；1618人（82．0％）期望生育2个孩子，其中1600人期望儿女双全；当仅生育一个孩子时，倾向于男孩（51．2％）的比例略高于女孩（48．8％）。多分类logistic回归结果显示，年龄、性别、婚姻状况是生育意愿的影响因素。结论：流动人口的生育意愿越来越接近于目的地城市人口，但意愿生育数量仍高于城市人口，且存在一定的性别偏向，应该开展针对性的干预措施，进一步加强性别平等教育。Objective： To understand the fertility intentions of the floating population at childbearing age in Beijing, and to provide reference evidence for improving management of family planning for floating population. Method： Based on the investigation of ＂National 12th Five-Year Technology Support Programs＂, the data was collected and analyzed. Re- sult.. Total 1972 migrants were surveyed. 1730 （87.7%） migrants expected to have children between the ages of 23 to 28. 1618 （82.0%） migrants wished to have two children, and 1600 of them expected a boy and a girl. When having just one child, the proportion of boys was 51.2%, slightly higher than that of girls （48.8%）. Multiple classification logistic regression results showed that age, sex and the marital status were the influencing factors. Conclusion.. The fertility in- tention among the floating population is close to that of the urban population, while the desired fertility number among the floating population was higher, and with the existence of gender preference. So prevention and intervention meas- ures should be taken according to this phenomenon, and should further strengthen education on gender equality of floating population.

关 键 词：育龄 流动人口 生育意愿 

分 类 号：C924.21[社会学—人口学]