地震控制宣言  

Declaration on Earthquake Control

作　　者：彭志芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东农业大学林学院,山东泰安271001

出　　处：《科教文汇》2016年第33期179-181,共3页Journal of Science and Education

摘　　要：地震以人民灾难深重,苦孽如汤汤之水无以计言,然今发震机理仍未明,地震学该如何走以及最终走向哪里仍模糊不清,现为着力回答这一历史疑难,特从社会哲学与自然科学层面对地震事件展开研究。研究结果表明:地震准确预报在科学尺度上无解,地震短临预报涉及社会变量后解无效,地震区划有一定的积极作用;地震预警相对客观隶属耗费低效解,地震预防积极主动隶属耗费有效解;地震控制在哲学和自然科学尺度上有解,其代表着人类物质精神文明的发展方向,是一符合最广大人民最可持续利益的光明正解。Earthquakes inflict grave disasters on people, but earthquake occurrence mechanism remains unclear up to now, and the further development of earthquake studies also remains ambiguous. To answer the long-term problem, this paper car- ties out a study on earthquakes from the perspectives of social philosophy and natural science. It is indicated in the study that： there is no solution to the accurate prediction of earthquakes from the perspective of science, and, the solution of short-term and impending-earthquake prediction is invalid when involving social variables, while seismic zonation is of certain positive role; the solution of objective earthquake early warning is less effective, and the solution of positive earthquake early warning is effective; there are solutions to earthquake control from the perspective of philosophy and natural science, and earthquake control reflects the development direction of humans＇ material and spiritual civilization, and is a correct solution in line with the sustainable benefits of the overwhelming majority of the people.

关 键 词：地震控制 兴利除害 地震预防 地震预警 地震预报 

分 类 号：P315[天文地球—地震学]