基于一致性的动态组合评价方法研究  

A Dynamic Combined Evaluation Method Based on Consistency

作　　者：李美娟[1,2] 徐林明[1,3] 陈国宏[1] 

机构地区：[1]福州大学经济与管理学院,福建福州350116 [2]中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京100190 [3]福建船政交通职业学院交通经济系,福建福州350007

出　　处：《中国管理科学》2016年第10期149-155,共7页Chinese Journal of Management Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71403055);国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(15FGL005);中国博士后科学基金(2015M570155;2016T90140);福建省社科规划项目(FJ2015B198);福建省高校新世纪优秀人才支持计划

摘　　要：为了解决多种动态评价方法和动态组合评价方法评价结论非一致性问题,提出基于一致性的动态组合评价方法。确定相容动态评价方法集,应用几种动态组合评价方法对相容动态评价方法集中的单一动态评价结论进行组合评价,如果评价结论非一致,再利用这几种动态组合评价方法对动态组合评价结论进行组合或再组合,直到得到一致性的动态组合排序值为止。应用基于一致性的动态组合评价方法对东部地区区域自主创新能力进行动态组合评价,得到一致性的评价结论,通过实例说明本研究实际应用上的有效性。基于一致性的动态组合评价方法对解决多种动态评价方法评价结论非一致性问题提供了思路,是综合评价方法研究的有益补充,可以利用该方法进行应用研究。In order to get rid of the inconsistency among evaluation results from different dynamic evaluation methods and dynamic combined evaluation methods,a dynamic combined evaluation method based on consistency is proposed.The thinking of the dynamic combined evaluation method is as following.The dynamic compatible methods set is determined.The dynamic evaluation results from different dynamic evaluation methods of dynamic compatible methods set are combined by several dynamic combined evaluation methods.If the evaluation results are inconsistency,the dynamic combined evaluation results are combined and recombined by these dynamic combined evaluation methods,until the consistency dynamic combined sorting results are obtained.In practice,a dynamic combined evaluation is conducted on the independent innovation capabilities of the provinces in east China.The source data of the evaluation indicators for the regional independent innovation capacities come from China Statistical Yearbook,China Statistical Yearbook on Science and Technology,and the web site of People′s Republic of China Ministry of Science and Technology which provides a database with the major indicators for the science and technology in China.Such an evaluation,as an instance,shows that the findings of this work are practically effective.The consistency evaluation results of the evaluation objects at a certain time and the overall evaluation results of the evaluation objects at a period of time are both obtained by this method.The method proposed in this study provides an idea in dealing with dynamic evaluation and the inconsistency among dynamic evaluation results,helpfully complements the comprehensive evaluation method,and facilitates the researches in related fields.

关 键 词：动态评价 组合评价 动态组合评价方法 相容动态评价方法集 一致性 

分 类 号：C931[经济管理—管理学]