小微企业抽样调查的样本轮换  

Sample Rotation of Sampling Survey about the Small and Micro Enterprises

作　　者：万舒晨[1,2] 金勇进[1,3] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学统计学院,北京100872 [2]国家统计局工业统计司,北京100826 [3]中国人民大学应用统计科学研究中心,北京100872

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2016年第11期14-19,共6页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：全国统计科学研究重点项目<小微工业企业抽样调查问题研究>(2013LZ34);北京市社科基金重点项目<基于北京市地理分布的空间抽样设计研究>(14JGA022);国家社科基金项目<大数据背景下非概率抽样的统计推断问题研究>(15BTJ014)

摘　　要：目前,小微企业抽样调查数据受到各级政府和社会各界的高度关注。针对小微企业单位新增、消亡变动频繁的特点,研究了总体单位及样本量变动的一般条件下的样本轮换理论,对样本轮换率和估计量进行了探讨,扩大了研究结果的适用范围,得到了简单随机抽样、分层抽样中样本轮换的有关结论,对估计量的抽样误差进行了有效控制,并进行了相关实证研究,最后提出了构造适合小微企业连续性抽样调查的样本轮换设计模式和方法。At present,the sampling survey data of the small and micro enterprises has been highly concerned by the government and community of China.According to the characteristics of frequently changing about the small and micro enterprises,some new firms may come into being while a few existed ones may quit from business,so we study the sample rotation theory under the condition of population and sample size changing,and discuss the sample rotation ratio and estimator in order to expand the scope of research results.Under the general condition of population and sample size changing,we explorer sample rotation in simple random sampling and stratified sampling,and make effective control on sampling error of the estimator.At last we do some empirical research,and propose the sample rotation design and method for successive sampling of the small and micro enterprises.

关 键 词：样本轮换 小微企业 样本轮换率 估计量 

分 类 号：C811[社会学—统计学]