基于灰色关联度模型的中国环境污染治理投入滞后性分析  

Asynchronous Analysis of Environmental Pollution Control Investment in China Based on Gray Correlation Degree Model

作　　者：何利[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南工程学院会计学院,河南郑州451191

出　　处：《梧州学院学报》2016年第4期6-11,共6页Journal of Wuzhou University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71173248);河南省教育厅项目(2016-gh-160)

摘　　要：经济发展带来的环境污染已经成为人类面临的重大生存问题,大气污染、水污染等还没有完全解决,气候变化、持久性污染、生态危机等变得越来越紧迫。加大环境治理,实施环境保护是实现人与自然和谐的根本,是人类可持续发展的必然要求。该文分析了环境经济之间的系统动力学关系、库兹涅茨曲线的理论与实践、发达国家环境经历与经验,对环境经济的反馈关系作出理论解析;运用灰色关联度分析模型,选取经济产出和环境污染治理投入指标来对环保工作的滞后性进行定量分析,研究结论表明:中国环保投入滞后期为6年,环境污染治理投入与经济发展的不同步是环境质量下降的重要原因。Environmental pollution caused by economic development has become a major survival problem faced by humans. Air pollution and water pollution haven＇ t been fully resolved. Besides, climate changing, persistent pollution and ecological crisis have become increasingly urgent problems to us. Strengthening environmental control and taking measures to protect the environment are vital for people to achieve harmony between mankind and nature and are inevitable requirements for sustainable development of human be- ings. The paper analyzes the system dynamics relationship between environment and economy, Kuznets Curve theory and practice and environmental experiences of developed countries, making theoretical analysis of the feedback of environmental economy. By applying the gray correlation analysis model and selecting the indexes of economic output and financial input in environmental control, it makes a quantitative analysis of hysteresis of environmental protection. The result shows that China＇ s lag phase of environmental protection is six years and the fact that investment in controlling environmental pollution and economic development are asynchronous is the main reason for the decline of the environment quality.

关 键 词：经济 投入 环境 灰色关联度 滞后性 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]