最低工资、空间溢出与非农就业——基于空间杜宾模型的分析  

Minimum Wage,Spatial Spillover and Employment:An Analysis of Spatial Durbin Model Based on Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：郑适[1] 秦明[1] 樊林峰[1] 王志刚[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院

出　　处：《财贸经济》2016年第12期133-143,共11页Finance & Trade Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金"完善我国工商资本投资现代农业发展的政策体系研究"(14BJY122);广东省自然科学基金"生产性创业与非生产性创业的微观配置机制和宏观绩效"(2014A030313456)

摘　　要：围绕最低工资标准就业效应的争论从未停止,然而空间溢出效应并未得到应有重视。本文基于1996-2012年省级面板数据构建空间杜宾模型,以此考察最低工资标准就业效应的空间溢出影响,并探讨其作用的路径。实证结果显示,最低工资的就业效应呈现非线性变化特征,其中,直接效应对农民工就业的影响呈现倒"U"型特征,而间接效应的作用则恰好相反;区域间的空间溢出是影响最低工资标准就业效应的关键因素,并且在要素市场发育程度更高的地区更为显著。鉴于此,本文提出保护非农就业的工资性权益,制定差异化的最低工资标准以及促进区域要素市场协调发展的对策建议。The minimum wage-employment debate is far away into a consistent view, especially most of researches failing to account for spatial spillover effects. Based on panel data from 30 provinces for the years 1996--2012, this paper erects a Spatial Durbin Mode to examine spatial spillovers among the employment effects of minimum wages. The results show that there is a directly inverted-U-shaped relationship between minimum wages and rural migration employment, while the impact of indirectly effects opposite. What＇s more, the significate evidences provide strong support that spatial spillover is the key factor affecting minimum wageemployment, especially in factor market area more mature. Therefore, this paper put forward the suggestion that to protect the salary right of non-agricultural employment, set differentiate minimum wage standard and promote the coordinated development among regional area.

关 键 词：最低工资 非农就业 空间溢出 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F249.2F323.6