城乡居民生育意愿的影响因素研究——基于CGSS2010数据的实证分析  

Study on the Influence Factors of Fertility Desire of Urban and Rural Residents——An Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS2010 Data

作　　者：张琬翌 张云垛 乔文俊[1] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学公共管理学院,南京211100

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2016年第18期4859-4863,共5页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家社科重大招标项目(11&ZD028);教育部哲社攻关项目(13JZD024);国家社科基金项目(12CSH015);江苏省社科基金项目(13SHB006)

摘　　要：生育意愿不仅反映了居民的生育行为,而且在一定程度上还影响着居民的生育决策。基于2010年CGSS数据发现,城乡居民生育意愿存在较大差异,农村居民生育2个及以上孩子的意愿大于城市居民;对生育意愿的影响因素分析发现,年龄、受教育程度和已有孩子数对城乡居民生育意愿产生了不一致的影响。城市居民中年龄越小越倾向于生育2个及以上孩子,而农村恰好相反;另外,农村居民生育意愿还受到个人养老观念和家庭收入的影响。Fertility desire not only reflects fertility behavior of residents, but also influences their fertility decision to some extent. Based on the 2010 CGSS data, it was found that there was obvious difference of fertility desire between rural and urban residents. The willingness of growing 2 or more children of rural residents was bigger than that of urban residents. By analyzing the influence factors of fertility desire, it was showed that the age, education level, and existing number of children exerted inconsistent effect on the fertility desire of urban and rural residents. The younger urban residents were more inclined to having 2 or more children, and the residents of rural areas were on the contrary. In addition, the fertility desire of rural residents were influenced by individual pension concept and family income.

关 键 词：城乡居民 生育意愿 影响因素 

分 类 号：C923[社会学—人口学]