新疆旅游开放度对经济增长的影响研究  

Research of Economic Growth Impacted by Tourism Opening around Xinjiang in China

作　　者：李振丽[1] 李晓东[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆大学旅游学院,乌鲁木齐830046

出　　处：《旅游世界（旅游发展研究）》2016年第6期44-48,共5页

摘　　要：本文运用计量经济学中的协整分析、格兰杰因果检验法，分析了2005—2014年新疆旅游开放度与经济增长的关系。研究表明：新疆旅游开放度与经济增长之间存在长期均衡的协整关系，且旅游开放l度每增加一个百分点，会带动地区经济增长0．6015个百分点。格兰杰因果关系检验发现，在滞后一期，两者存在着双向的因果关系。因此，新疆旅游开放度与经济增长存在互促作用。旅游开放度的提高带动外商投资和产业升级，产生产业联动效应及经济效应，进而实现扩大旅游开放与促进经济增长的双赢效果。This paper uses econometrics cointegration analysis, Granger causality test method, the analysis 2005- relationship 2014 Xinjiang tourism openness and economic growth. Studies have shown that： long-term equilibrium cointegration relationship between tourism and economic growth in Xinjiang openness, openness and tourism each one percentage point increase regional economic growth will lead to 0.6015 percentage points. Granger causality test showed a lag, there is a two-way causality. Therefore, rapid economic growth in Xinjiang can promote tourism and opening up, Improve tourism openness led foreign investment and industrial upgrading, industrial linkage effect and produce economic effects, so as to realize the expansion of tourism and opening up and promote economic growth and win-win results.

关 键 词：旅游开放度 经济增长 协整分析 格兰杰因果检验 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]