关于中国跨越“中等收入陷阱”的思考——基于东亚经济体的经验启示  

Research on China Striding over "the Middle-income Trap" :Based on the Experience of East Asian Economies

作　　者：王晓芳[1] 胡冰[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,710061

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2016年第10期34-43,共10页Shanghai Journal of Economics

摘　　要：在经济新常态下,为了避免中国坠入"中等收入陷阱",该文根据经济增长理论,对包括中国在内的东亚主要经济体国家和地区上世纪70年代以来的经济发展状况进行了全面的考察和比较。通过对相关数据的比较并参考这些国家和地区相应的经济增长变化趋势,该文分析了影响经济增长和发展的各种因素。结果发现,消费习惯和制度缺陷显著地影响了坠入"中等收入陷阱"国家的经济。同时,过度依赖初级产品出口和外商投资、过度的城市化、自主创新能力的缺失及环境污染等均会对经济发展造成负面影响。基于此,该文认为:当前,我国应当通过转变经济增长方式,优化经济结构,进行供给侧改革与金融改革,调整人口政策,并且在政策上加大对教育、环境保护和技术创新的支持力度,才有可能使我国成功跨越"中等收入陷阱",进入高收入国家的行列。To avoid the ＂middle-income trap＂ in China, the paper carries on the comprehensive study about the major economies in East Asia including China. The comparative analysis between the high income group and the ＂trap＂ group shows that the consumption habits and the defects of the system significantly affect the economy of the ＂trap＂ group. At the same time, the excessive reliance on commodity exports and foreign investment, environmental pollution, excessive urbanization, lack of capacity for independent innovation and other factors have negative effects on the economy. Therefore, China should transform the current economic structure, complete the reform of the supply side and finance, adjust the population policy, and increase the support for education, environment and technology, so as to eliminate the ＂middle-income trap＂ haze.

关 键 词：中等收入陷阱 东亚经济发展模式 中国经济增长方式 

分 类 号：F120.4[经济管理—世界经济]