我国营林固定资产投资对林业碳储存增量的影响研究  

Research on the Influence of Forestry Carbon Storage Incremental from Forestry Investment in Fixed Assets in China

作　　者：徐冬梅[1,2] 高岚[2] 

机构地区：[1]石河子大学经济与管理学院,石河子832003 [2]华南农业大学经济管理学院,广州510642

出　　处：《林业经济》2016年第12期41-45,共5页Forestry Economics

基　　金：广东省人文社科重大项目"碳汇经营风险的生成与防控机制研究(编号:2014WZDXM009);广东省林业厅科技发展专项基金项目"广东省碳汇林经营风险的管理研究与示范"(编号:2013KJCX18-02);国家自然科学基金面上项目"碳汇林经营风险的治理机制研究"(编号:71473088)

摘　　要：营林固定资产投资作为林业经营和风险管理的重要经济手段,对于林业发展与森林质量提升有重要影响。森林吸收大气中CO_2气体以碳化合物储存起来,形成碳汇过程。研究运用计量统计分析方法建立滞后模型,分析林业营林固定资产投资与林业碳储存增量的协整关系以及2个变量之间的Granger因果关系,得出我国林业营林固定资产投资对于林业碳储存增量存在长期的协整关系,但是其影响相对较小,且存在一定滞后期,投资效率偏低。Capital investment in fixed assets as an important economic means of risk management in forestry has an important influence on forestry quality improvement. Forest stores carbon by soaking up the atmosphere of CO2, and forming process of carbon sink. In order to understand the relationship between forestry investment in fixed as- sets and forestry carbon storage incremental,and know the Granger causality of the two variables, the paper uses quantitative statistical analysis method and establishes hysteresis model. It concludes that there is long term co-inte- gration relationship between forestry capital investment in fixed assets and forestry carbon storage incremental in Chi- na, but the former has little influence on the later, and even there is a longer lag period. Sothe results show that low investment efficiency.

关 键 词：营林固定资产投资 碳储存增量 协整检验 滞后性分析 GRANGER因果关系 

分 类 号：F326.2[经济管理—产业经济]