基于本底趋势线的雾霾天气对我国入境游客量的影响分析  

Impact of Smog Weather on the Amount of Inbound Tourists of China Based on the Natural Trend Curve

作　　者：阎友兵[1] 张静[1] 

机构地区：[1]湘潭大学旅游管理学院,中国湖南湘潭411105

出　　处：《经济地理》2016年第12期183-188,共6页Economic Geography

摘　　要：雾霾天气对我国的入境旅游产生了显著的负面影响。运用2004--2012年入境旅游本底趋势线，对比分析2013年雾霾天气对我国入境旅游的影响，结果显示：（1）除西藏、甘肃、青海、宁夏、新疆5个省市区外，雾霾天气对各省市区人境游客量的影响显著，其中山西的游客损失率最大，损失率为74．78％；浙江的游客损失量最大，损失量为5．88×10^6人次；（2）2013年我国大陆31个省市区入境游客损失轻重程度（损失率）的空间分布与雾霾污染程度的空间分布大体上具有一致性。Smog weather has a significant negative impact on the inbound tourism of China. Using the natural trend curve of inbound tourism from 2004 to 2012 to analyze the impact of smog weather on the inbound tourism of China in 2013, results indicated that first, smog weather had significant impacts on the amount of inbound tourists in different regions in addition to Tibet, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia and Xinjiang. Among the 31 regions, Shanxi suffered the biggest loss rate and the loss rate was 74.78%. Zhejiang suffered the largest flow loss and the amount was 5875700. Second, the spatial distribution of inbound tourists＇ loss rates of the 31 regions remained largely consistent with the spatial distribution of the smog pollution levels in 2013.

关 键 词：雾霾天气 入境旅游 游客量 本底趋势线 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]