中国与南亚地区农产品贸易的竞争性与互补性——以“一带一路”战略为背景  

Competitiveness and Complementarities of Agricultural Product Trade between China and South-Asia under the Background of One Belt and One Road

作　　者：余妙志[1] 梁银锋 高颖[2] 

机构地区：[1]浙江工业大学,杭州310000 [2]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《农业经济问题》2016年第12期83-94,共12页Issues in Agricultural Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(编号:71173193);国家社科基金重大招标项目(编号:13&ZD046);浙江省重点软科学项目(编号:2014C25029)资助

摘　　要：本文基于"一带一路"战略背景,利用2004—2014年联合国贸易统计数据库提供的数据,探讨了中国与南盟成员国农产品贸易的比较优势、结合度、竞争性与互补性等相关问题。研究发现:我国的农产品贸易总体上处于比较劣势,与南亚的出口贸易结合度比较稳定但力度低,而进口贸易结合度却逐年攀升,关系越来越紧密。此外,我国同南盟的农产品出口在各大市场上均存在较激烈的竞争。在互补性问题上,部分款项的农产品间存在着紧密的双向贸易关系,但总体看来吻合程度并不高。最后,针对我国农产品贸易的发展现状,提出了拓展和优化我国与南盟农产品经贸关系的政策建议。Under the background of 'One Belt One Road',this article analyzes revealed comparative advantage( RCA),trade integration( TI),competitiveness and complementarities between China and SouthAsia based on data provided by UN comtrade from 2004 to 2014. The results indicate that Chinese agricultural product trade is in comparative disadvantage; its export TI with south-Asia is weak and steady while its import TI is increasing. Besides,there exists fierce competitiveness between two economies in various export market. Some of the agricultural products are close in bilateral complementarities,but not for the overall. Finally,combined with the present development situation of agricultural product trade,we propose some suggestions on how to expand and optimize trading tie between China and South-Asia.

关 键 词：“一带一路”倡议 比较优势 出口相似度 贸易互补指数 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]