灰色预测法在黑龙江饲料产量预测中的应用  

Application of grey prediction method in Heilongjiang forage yield prediction

作　　者：韦春波[1] 李洋洋[1] 高颖超 贾永全[1] 

机构地区：[1]黑龙江八一农垦大学动物科技学院,黑龙江大庆163319

出　　处：《饲料工业》2016年第23期61-64,共4页Feed Industry

基　　金：大庆市指导性科技计划项目[szdfy-2015-23]

摘　　要：应用灰色预测方法结合黑龙江省历年饲料产量数据，以黑龙江省2008—2014年的饲料产量为数据基础建立模型，计算得出2015～2017年黑龙江饲料产量的预估值。结果表明，灰色预测法对本样本适应性强，预测精密度高，简单易行，能够有效解决饲料生产的预测问题。This study established the prediction model of feed production using the gray forecasting method based on the historical feed data of Heilongjiang Province in 2008-2014. We forecasted the feed yield of the coming year 2015-2017 with the model and the results show that the gray forecasting method was of good adaptability, high prediction precision, simple and feasible, and was able to solve the feed production forecasting problem effectively.

关 键 词：灰色预测 灰色序列 饲料产量预测 

分 类 号：S816.17[农业科学—饲料科学]