碳税对我国现代煤化工产品经济性的影响分析  

Impact analysis of carbon tax on the economy of modern coal chemical products in China

作　　者：张媛媛[1,2] 王永刚[1] 田亚峻 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)化学与环境工程学院,北京100083 [2]北京低碳清洁能源研究所,北京102209

出　　处：《现代化工》2016年第12期1-4,共4页Modern Chemical Industry

基　　金：中国工程院重大咨询项目"碳约束条件下我国能源结构优化研究"(2016-ZD-07)

摘　　要：通过分析碳排放税的实施目的及作用,对比分析了不同现代煤化工产品的成本和碳排放量,讨论开征碳税对于现代煤化工产品经济性的影响,得出其计算公式和变化曲线。进一步探讨不同现代煤化工产品的含税成本对碳税税率的敏感性,得出结论:煤制天然气的含税成本对碳税税率的变动最为敏感,煤制二甲醚、煤制甲醇和煤制烯烃的敏感程度居中,煤制乙二醇、煤直接液化和煤间接液化较不敏感。提出针对碳税在现代煤化工行业的推广实施建议。The present situation and development trend of modern coal chemical industry in China are introduced.The purpose and role of carbon tax are analyzed. Based on the comparison and analysis of costs and carbon emissions of different modern coal chemical products,the impacts of carbon tax on the economy of modern coal chemical products are discussed. The calculation formulas and curves are concluded. According to the sensitivity analysis on tax-inclusive costs of modern coal chemical products to the changes of carbon tax rate,it is concluded that the tax-inclusive cost of coal based synthetic natural gas is most sensitive to the changes of carbon tax rate. The sensitive degree of tax-inclusive costs of coal to methanol,dimethyl ether and olefin to the changes of carbon tax rate is intermediate. The tax-inclusive costs of coal to ethylene glycol,direct coal liquefaction and indirect coal liquefaction are less sensitive to the changes of carbon tax rate. The suggestions of the implementation of carbon tax in modern coal chemical industry are also put forward.

关 键 词：现代煤化工 碳税 税率 产品成本 敏感性分析 

分 类 号：TQ-9[化学工程]