丝绸之路经济带国际贸易中的边界效应与制度因素研究——以新疆自治区为例  

On the Boundary Effect and Institutional Factors in the International Trade on the Silk Road Economic Belt——A Case Study Based on Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region

作　　者：郑又源[1] 刘延平[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安电子科技大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710071

出　　处：《兰州大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第6期76-83,共8页Journal of Lanzhou University（Social Sciences）

基　　金：西安电子科技大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目

摘　　要：以新疆自治区与哈萨克斯坦等14个"丝绸之路经济带"贸易伙伴国2005至2014年的数据,测算了新疆自治区与哈萨克斯坦等14国之间的国际贸易阻力,并对国际贸易中的边界效应与制度因素进行了实证研究。分析表明:第一,贸易距离和边界效应是影响贸易阻力的主要因素,共同的宗教作为边界效应起到了阻碍国际贸易的作用。第二,制度因素会影响边界效应对贸易阻力及贸易流量的作用,上海合作组织作为一种外部制度安排,其边界效应的发挥会通过贸易伙伴国内部的制度因素来体现。第三,制度质量对贸易流量呈非线性的影响,政治稳定与非暴力程度、法制程度和腐败控制程度对贸易流量呈"正U型"影响,民众的表达与问责程度对贸易流量呈"倒U型"影响。Based on the corresponding data collected in 2005-2014 from 14 trade partners such as Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region in China, Kazakhstan, and other nations or regions on the Silk Road Economic Belt, research is done estimating international trade friction among these 14 trade partners. Empirical studies are done regarding the boundary effect and institutional factors in the international trade. Analyses reveal that first, trade distance and boundary effect are the main factors affecting trade friction; shared religions as a boundary effect prove to be obstacles to the international trade. Second, institutional factors will affect the boundary effect on trade friction and trade flow; the boundary effect of Shanghai cooperation organization （sco）, a kind of external institutional arrangements, acts through the institutional factors within the trading partners. Third, the impact of institutional quality upon trade flow is nonlinear; while the impact of political stability, non-violence, legalization, and corruption control upon trade flow is in the shape of ＂U＂, the impact of public opinions and accountability on trade flow takes the shape of an inverted ＂U＂.

关 键 词：丝绸之路经济带 国际贸易 贸易阻力 边界效应 新疆 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]