基于Order Probit模型的家庭化流动影响因素分析  

Analysis of Factors Influencing Family Migration in Floating Population Based on Probit Order Model

作　　者：韩淑娟[1] 颛慧玲[1] 武汉祥 

机构地区：[1]山西省社会科学院,山西太原030006 [2]山西财经大学,山西太原030006

出　　处：《经济问题》2017年第1期92-95,共4页On Economic Problems

基　　金：2015年山西省回国留学人员科研资助项目"山西省人口变动与公共服务供给的适应性分析";2015年山西省高校哲学社会科学研究项目"外资进入;劳动力市场调整对山西省人口回流的影响研究"

摘　　要：基于2015年山西省流动人口监测数据,通过构建Order Probit模型分析影响流动人口家庭化流动的相关因素。结果表明,个体特征、流动及经济特征、家庭特征及流动意愿均对家庭化流动产生深刻影响。其中,女性、年青人、已婚者更容易实现家庭化流动;流动范围越小、流动时间越长、就业自由度越高、经济收入越普通越容易实现家庭化流动;子女数量越少、在农村中有兄弟姐妹、家庭生活水平越高越容易实现家庭化流动;同时流动意愿越强越容易实现家庭化流动。建议不断完善家庭政策和社会政策以鼓励流动人口家庭化流动。Based on the 2015 monitoring data of floating population in Shanxi Province,this paper constructs a Order Probit model to analyse the factors influencing family migrantion in floating population. The results show that individual characteristics,mobility and economic characteristics,household characteristics and the flow will have profound impact on the family migrantion in floating population. Women,younger people,married people are more likely to migration with his family; the smaller the distance is- and the longer the time is,the higher the freedom degree of employment is,the more ordinary the income is- the easier the family migration is; the fewer the number of children is- and the more brothers and sisters in hometown,the higher the living level of the family is- the easier the family migration is; and,the stronger the flow will is,the easier the family migration is. It is suggested that familypolicise and social policies are to be improved to encourage the family migration in floating population.

关 键 词：流动人口 家庭化流动 家庭政策 

分 类 号：F241.22[经济管理—劳动经济]