国际金融主导权的国际博弈及演变  

The International Game and Evolving of the Dominant Power of International Finance

作　　者：张应华[1] ZHANG Ying-hua(School of economics and management, Jiujiang University, Jiangxi Jiujiang 332000, Chin)

机构地区：[1]九江学院经济与管理学院,江西九江332000

出　　处：《广义虚拟经济研究》2016年第4期25-32,共8页Research on the Generalized Virtual Economy

基　　金：广义虚拟经济研究专项资助项目[项目编号:GX2015-1015(Y)]

摘　　要：国际金融体系改革要取得突破必须破解国际金融主导权的再分配难题。本文通过博弈论方法分析发现,国际金融主导权在大国与小国之间的博弈属于典型的智猪博弈;在大国之间的博弈最为激烈,并且是逐步演变的;一战后由于国际金融主导权缺位,国际博弈陷入囚徒困境;二战末期建立了布雷顿森林体系,国际博弈步入契约博弈的轨道;然而由于美国违约而导致该体系崩溃;但美国并没有因此受到惩罚,反而通过《牙买加协定》固化其利益,国际金融主导权的国际博弈演变成了美国金融霸权,这也成为当今国际金融体系改革的最大障碍。The reform of the international financial system must make a great breakthrough on redistribu- tion of the Dominant Power of International Finance （DPIF）. Based on game theory, some conclusions were found in this paper. On DPIF, the game between big and small countries belongs to the typical boxed pigs game. The game between the great powers is the most intense, and gradually evolving. After the first world war, game was into a prisoner＇s dilemma because of the absence of DPIF. In the end of world war II the Bretton Woods System was established, so the international game embarked on a track of contract game. However, the system crashed due to the breach of the United States. It was not to be punished, and curing its interests through the JamaicaAgreement, so that the international game of DPIF evolved into the US financial hegemony. This has become the biggest obstacle to reform of the international financial system today.

关 键 词：金融霸权 囚徒困境 国际金融体系改革 

分 类 号：F224.32[经济管理—国民经济] F831