通商口岸、新式教育与近代经济发展:一个历史计量学的考察  

Treaty Ports,Modern Education and Economic Growth of Modern China:A Cliometric Perspective

作　　者：林矗[1] Lin Chu

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院

出　　处：《中国经济史研究》2017年第1期67-83,共17页Researches in Chinese Economic History

摘　　要：本文通过建立唯一的近代府级横截面数据,考察了通商口岸促进近代经济长期发展的效应和机制。研究表明:通商口岸对20世纪初的中国经济发展具有显著的促进影响,即距离通商口岸越近的地区,城市人口越多、人口密度越大、劳动生产率越高;通商口岸为近代新式教育的出现提供了条件,包括中国留学生、新式学堂和教会学校等新生事物首先在通商口岸兴起,再向内地推广辐射,进而促进了近代人力资本的发展,最终决定了20世纪初的经济发展水平。本文不仅丰富了现有关于历史冲击对经济发展长期影响的历史计量学文献,同时也为当前我国如何利用港口等交通枢纽建设来促进经济发展和人力资本积累提供了历史经验方面的借鉴。Using a unique prefectural-level cross-section data, this paper studies the improvement effect of treaty ports on economic development in modern China. It arrives at the results as follows： firstly, treaty ports play an improvement role in modern China＇s economy, namely the decrease in distance to treaty ports leads to the increase in urban population, population density and labour productivity; secondly, the treaty ports provide conditions for the emergence of modern education, including returned Student, modern schools and missionary schools. These findings not only directly rich cliometric literature on influence of historical shock on the economic development, but also provide historical reference for how to depend on the construction of infrastructure to boost the economy and improve human capital.

关 键 词：通商口岸 新式教育 近代中国 历史计量学 

分 类 号：F552.9[经济管理—产业经济] K25[历史地理—历史学]