中国环境产品出口贸易影响因素的动态分析——基于CMS模型测算  

A Dynamic Analysis of Infl uential Factors of China's Environmental Products Export:Based on Constant Market Share Model

作　　者：卫迎春[1] 张梅梅[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院

出　　处：《国际商务研究》2017年第1期65-74,共10页International Business Research

摘　　要：本文以"APEC+OECD"环境产品清单为基础,通过分析2003~2013年中国环境产品贸易的相关数据,发现11年间中国环境产品出口贸易规模增长迅速、贸易结构以及出口市场稳定。在采用恒定市场份额模型的基础上,将中国环境产品出口变动的影响因素分解为结构效应和竞争力效应,分析了中国环境产品出口的影响因素。结果表明:环境产品整体竞争力的提升是中国环境产品出口贸易增长的主要源泉,而结构效应和交叉效应对出口贸易增长贡献较小。因此,中国应尽快制定和实施新的环境产品对外贸易发展战略,积极调整原有不合理的产品结构和市场结构,进一步增强中国环境产品的出口竞争力。Based on the environmental products list of both APEC and OECD, this paper has analyzed the relevant trade data of China＇s environmental goods from 2003 to 2013 and finds that China＇s environmental product trade volume is growing rapidly and export structure and market distribution structure are stable. Based on the Constant Market Share Model, it analyzes the main factors affecting the export of environmental products, which are classified into factors of structure effect and competitiveness effect. The empirical study results demonstrate as follows： enhancing the overall competitiveness of environmental goods is the most crucial source of exports growth for environmental goods, while the structural effect and cross effect do not contribute much to the export trade growth. It is suggested that China should formulate and implement new foreign trade development strategy on environmental products as soon as possible, actively adjust the original unreasonable product structure and market structure, and further enhance the competitiveness of environmental product export.

关 键 词：环境产品 出口竞争力 恒定市场份额模型 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]