中国页岩气发展前景及相关问题初探  

A preliminary study on prospects for shale gas industry in China and relevant issues

作　　者：龙胜祥[1,2] 曹艳[1,2] 朱杰[3] 朱彤[1,2] 王烽[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国石化页岩油气勘探开发重点实验室,北京100083 [2]中国石化石油勘探开发研究院,北京100083 [3]国土资源部油气资源战略研究中心,北京100034

出　　处：《石油与天然气地质》2016年第6期847-853,共7页Oil & Gas Geology

基　　金：中国石化科技开发项目(P13085)

摘　　要：中国近期页岩气勘探开发正在快速推进，取得了多领域页岩气勘探突破。对中国页岩气产业发展现状、发展基础、面临机遇与挑战、发展前景进行了宏观分析，认为中国页岩气勘探开发已取得巨大突破和规模商业发展。对比美国页岩气产业发展历程，判断中国页岩气产业目前处于快速发展初期阶段。从资源分布和质量分析看，四川盆地及其周缘海相页岩气应是近中期勘探开发重要领域，具备几百亿方产能建设资源基础。在页岩气勘探开发实践中，埋深小于3500m的海相页岩气高效开发技术系列和环境保护技术已较成熟，但对于深层海相页岩气、构造复杂区低压低丰度页岩气和陆相、海一陆过渡相页岩气还缺乏高效、适用的技术。在“十三五”期间，我国应采取积极发展战略，充分利用丰富的资源和当前良好的机遇，发展一批页岩气勘探开发核心技术，使页岩气产量达到（200—300）×108m3。为保障这一目标的实现，建议组织开展页岩气资源及目标评价，开展页岩气工程技术攻关，同时采取措施推进环境保护和规模效益开发。Shale gas exploration and development in China has been pushing forward in a rapid pace with breakthroughs achieved in several domains. A macro analysis of the state quo, basis, opportunities and challenges of shale gas industry in China also confirmed the breakthroughs and indicated a potential development of commercial scale. Compared with the history of shale gas industry in the US, we believe that the industry in China is now in an initial stage of rapid develop- ment. The distribution and quality of shale gas resources in the country infers that Sichuan Basin and its periphery areas with their resource potential for a gas productivity of tens of billion cubic meters are the near- and mid-term exploration targets. Shale gas exploration activities in the country show that technologies for an efficient and environmental-friendly development of shale gas buried in depth less than 3 500 meters are maturing. However, for gas buried deeper or in com- plex structures with low pressure and low abundance or in continental or transitional facies, the country still lacks of suit- able technologies. We suggest that China adopt active strategies to develop core technologies during the 13th-Five-Year- Plan period so as to attain the goal of extracting 20 to 30 bcm of shale gas annually. To do this,we think it is necessary to further perform shale gas resources assessment and exploration target evaluation as well as shale gas engineering technolo- gy development. Meanwhile, environment issues shall also be addressed base on a scale benefit of the resource.

关 键 词：页岩气 勘探开发 资源潜力 中国 

分 类 号：TE132.2[石油与天然气工程—油气勘探]