中国与TPP成员国农产品贸易关系及其影响因素研究  

A Study on Trade Relationship of Agriculture Products between China and TPP Members and Its Influencing Factors

作　　者：谢国娥[1] 张亮[1] 杨逢珉[1] XIE Guoe ZHANG Liang YANG Fengmin(Business School, East China University of Science and Technology, Shanzhai 200237, Chin)

机构地区：[1]华东理工大学商学院经济系,上海200237

出　　处：《华东理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第6期44-55,共12页Journal of East China University of Science and Technology：Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家社科基金一般项目(批准号:12BJY009);教育部人文社科基金规划项目(批准号:12YJAGAT002);中央高校基本科研业务费(WN 1422021)的支持

摘　　要：文章对中国与TPP成员国农产品贸易关系进行了多维分析,采用贸易结合度揭示了我国与TPP成员国农产品贸易的紧密程度,利用GL指数测算出双边农产品贸易的竞争互补关系,利用RCA对中国及TPP成员国农产品贸易竞争力进行分析比较,说明中国农产品贸易竞争力水平;之后,基于1992-2014年中国与TPP成员国的双边农产品贸易面板数据,利用引力模型对中国与TPP成员国农产品贸易关系的影响因素进行分析,结果显示,经济规模和区域性优惠贸易安排对中国与TPP成员国农产品双边贸易产生显著积极影响,人口数量、人均收入差异以及两国首都之间的直线距离对双边贸易产生负面影响。据此,提出了中国农产品贸易应对TPP挑战的对策措施。The authors demonstrate closeness degree of agricultural trade relationship between China and TPP members with TCD index and measure competition and complementary relationship of bilateral trade of agriculture products with GL index and compare trade competitive of agriculture products of China and TPP members. The result shows that economic scale and regional preference trade arrangement have a significant positive impact on China agricultural trade with the TPP members. However, population, per capita income difference and the linear distance between the two capitals bring a negative impact on bilateral trade. According to this, some suggestions are put forward to meet the challenge of TPP for China＇ s agricultural trade.

关 键 词：TPP农产品 贸易关系 影响因素 贸易引力模型 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]