城市政府商服用地出让的策略互动行为模式及其影响——基于山东省地级市层面的实证分析  

Urban government commercial land transfer's strategic interaction and its influence:empirical analysis based on the prefecture- level cities of Shandong Province

作　　者：彭山桂[1] 程道平[2] 

机构地区：[1]山东师范大学商学院 [2]山东师范大学商学院房地产经营管理系

出　　处：《城市问题》2017年第1期29-36,94,共9页Urban Problems

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(15CJY047)

摘　　要：提出了城市政府商服用地出让策略互动行为检验、策略互动行为模式识别、策略互动行为模式影响分析的思路和模型,并利用2008-2014年山东省各地级市商服用地交易数据进行了实证分析。结果显示:在山东省区域内,城市政府商服用地出让的策略互动行为模式与"领导者—跟随者"模式具有较大的相似度;商服用地市场领导者出让量的变动对其他地级市商服用地出让量的变化具有显著影响。据此,建议调控区域商服用地出让不应停留在单个城市层面,而应注意城市政府商服用地出让的策略互动行为模式及其影响。This essay systematically puts forward the idea and model for the urban local government commercial land transfer strategic interaction test, pattern recognition and influence analysis. It also has made the empirical research taking the commercial land transaction data of prefecture - level cities of Shandong Province from the year 2008 to 2014. The result shows that： In Shandong Province, the prefecture -level cities local government commercial land transfer＇ s strategic interaction mode has great similarity with ＂leader- follower＂ mode; The transfer quantity＇ s change of commercial land market leaders （Jinan, Qingdao） has obvious influence on other prefecture - level cities＇. Accordingly, it points out that regulating regional commercial land transfer shouldn＇ t stay on individual city, but pay more attention on the strategic interaction＇ s mode and effect between themselves.

关 键 词：城市政府 商服用地 出让 策略互动 影响 

分 类 号：F299.232[经济管理—国民经济]