机构地区:[1]Xichang Satellite Launch Center,Xichang 615000,China [2]State key Laboratory at Numerical Modelling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China [3]College of Meteorology and Oceanography,PLA University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 211101,China
出 处:《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2017年第1期88-100,共13页大气科学进展(英文版)
基 金:jointly supported by the National Department Public Benefit Research Foundation(Grant No.GYHY201406003);the 973 Program(Grant Nos.2013CB956203 and 2012CB957803);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41490642,41475070 and 41305045);the Jiangsu Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.BK20151447)
摘 要:A regional heavy precipitation event that occurred over Sichuan Province on 8-9 September 2015 is analyzed based on hourly observed precipitation data obtained from weather stations and NCEP FNL data. Two moist dynamic parameters, i.e., moist vorticity (mζ and moist divergence (mδ), are used to diagnose this heavy precipitation event. Results show that the topography over southwestern China has a significant impact on the ability of these two parameters to diagnose precipitation. When the impact of topography is weak (i.e., low altitude), rn( cannot exactly depict the location of precipitation in the initial stage of the event. Then, as the precipitation develops, its ability to depict the location improves significantly. In particular, m( coincides best with the location of precipitation during the peak stage of the event. Besides, the evolution of the m( center shows high consistency with the evolution of the precipitation center. For mδ, although some false-alarm regions are apparent, it reflects the location of precipitation almost entirely during the precipitation event. However, the mδ center shows inconsistency with the precipitation center. These results suggest that both m( and mδ have a significant ability to predict the location of precipitation. Moreover, m( has a stronger ability than mδ in terms of predicting the variability of the precipitation center. However, when the impact of topography is strong (i.e., high altitude), both of these two moist dynamic parameters are unable to depict the location and center of precipitation during the entire precipitation event, suggesting their weak ability to predict precipitation over complex topography.A regional heavy precipitation event that occurred over Sichuan Province on 8-9 September 2015 is analyzed based on hourly observed precipitation data obtained from weather stations and NCEP FNL data. Two moist dynamic parameters, i.e., moist vorticity (mζ and moist divergence (mδ), are used to diagnose this heavy precipitation event. Results show that the topography over southwestern China has a significant impact on the ability of these two parameters to diagnose precipitation. When the impact of topography is weak (i.e., low altitude), rn( cannot exactly depict the location of precipitation in the initial stage of the event. Then, as the precipitation develops, its ability to depict the location improves significantly. In particular, m( coincides best with the location of precipitation during the peak stage of the event. Besides, the evolution of the m( center shows high consistency with the evolution of the precipitation center. For mδ, although some false-alarm regions are apparent, it reflects the location of precipitation almost entirely during the precipitation event. However, the mδ center shows inconsistency with the precipitation center. These results suggest that both m( and mδ have a significant ability to predict the location of precipitation. Moreover, m( has a stronger ability than mδ in terms of predicting the variability of the precipitation center. However, when the impact of topography is strong (i.e., high altitude), both of these two moist dynamic parameters are unable to depict the location and center of precipitation during the entire precipitation event, suggesting their weak ability to predict precipitation over complex topography.
关 键 词:moist vorticity moist divergence heavy precipitation southwestern China
分 类 号:P426.6[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
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