人口受教育程度对居民消费的影响研究——基于动态面板分位数回归法  

An Empirical Analysis of impact of populations of educated level on residents' consumption in China:Based on Quantile Regression for Dynamic Panel Data

作　　者：刘曦子[1] 侯锐[2] 陈进[1] 

机构地区：[1]对外经贸大学信息学院,北京100029 [2]对外经贸大学国际贸易学院,北京100029

出　　处：《西北人口》2017年第1期50-56,65,共8页Northwest Population Journal

基　　金：教育部"211工程"四期重点学科建设项目一般课题(项目编号:XK2014203)

摘　　要：本文采用1996~2015年的31个省市自治区宏观数据,使用动态面板分位数回归方法研究人口受教育程度和居民消费的数量关系。研究结果表明,人口受教育程度对消费有着较为显著的影响,且人口受教育程度对中等消费支出水平的影响略大于高、低消费支出水平的影响,这说明中等消费水平的居民消费受到人口受教育程度的影响更加敏感和有弹性。另外,模型中其他各解释变量系数在各分位数上的差异不大,说明这些影响因素对于不同消费支出水平的消费影响没有太明显差异。The paper analyzes the quantity relations between the populations of educated level and resident's consumption by the method of dynamic quantile regression for panel data of 31 provinces,cities and autonomous regions in China over the period 1996~2015. Our study result shows that the populations of educated level have a significant effect on the consumption and it have more effect on median consumption level than high and low consumption level,namely the effect on median consumption level is more elastic and efficient. Besides,there is not too much different among the other coefficients of independent variables on different quantile,which shows different factors haven't too much different effect on different consumption levels.

关 键 词：居民消费 人口受教育程度 动态面板分位数回归 工具变量 

分 类 号：F063.2[经济管理—政治经济学]