体育用品出口贸易结构的稳定性及影响因素研究  

Research on the Stability and Influencing Factors of Sporting Goods Export Trade Structure

作　　者：钟华梅[1] 王兆红[2] 程冬艳[1] 

机构地区：[1]河北大学体育教学部,河北保定071002 [2]北京师范大学体育与运动学院,北京100875

出　　处：《首都体育学院学报》2017年第1期13-16,30,共5页Journal of Capital University of Physical Education and Sports

基　　金：河北省高等学校人文社会科学研究项目(SQ161126);国家社会科学基金教育学青年课题(CLA130195)

摘　　要：在分析我国体育用品出口贸易结构现状的基础上,以劳伦斯指数为被解释变量,以外商直接投资、汇率、贸易差额、第二产业比重、人力成本为被解释变量构建多元线性回归模型,分析我国体育用品出口贸易结构的稳定性,结果表明:2007—2014年我国体育用品出口贸易结构变动幅度较小,贸易结构趋于稳定;外商直接投资增长、人民币升值、贸易顺差增大有利于提高体育用品出口贸易结构的稳定性;第二产业比重的增大不利于体育用品出口贸易结构的稳定性;人力成本上升非常显著降低体育用品出口贸易结构的稳定性。Based on the analysis of sporting goods export trade structure,taking the Lawrence index as explained variables,using foreign direct investment,exchange rate,trade balance,the proportion of secondary industry,labor costs to be explained variable to construct multivariate linear regression model,this paper analyzed the stability of the sporting goods export trade structure of China.The results show that from 2007 to 2014,China sports products export trade structure change amplitude is small,and the trade structure tends to be stable;foreign direct investment growth,the appreciation of the RMB,the trade surplus increased to improve the stability of the sporting goods export trade structure;the increase of the proportion of secondary industry is not conducive to the stability of China sporting goods export trade structure;labor costs rise significantly which reduces the stability of the sporting goods export trade structure.

关 键 词：体育用品 出口贸易结构 劳伦斯指数 稳定性 影响因素 

分 类 号：G80-052[文化科学—运动人体科学]