福建省木材消耗结构稳态特征  

Steady-state characteristics of timber consumption in Fujian Province

作　　者：林森[1] 林宇洪[1] 林燕青[2] 吴超[3] 洪伟[2] 

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学交通与土木工程学院 [2]福建农林大学林学院 [3]福建农林大学计算机与信息学院,福建福州350002

出　　处：《福建农林大学学报（自然科学版）》2017年第1期58-65,共8页Journal of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：林业厅科技项目(ky11090)

摘　　要：分析福建省木材市场对林木资源的需求和森林资源生产情况,通过将木材消耗结构进行分类,应用马尔科夫链模型揭示了木材消耗稳态结构分布并预测了福建省2015—2020年的消耗结构比重.结果表明,福建省木材消耗结构基本分为原木、薪材、卫生筷子、人造板、木地板、二次加工板、造纸、农民自用材,其稳定状态分别为13.66%,0.96%,36.77%,8.28%,17.99%,1.86%,13.52%,6.92%.To rationalize timber industr^^ for higher usage efficiency of forest resources, analyses on timber market and forestr^^ pro-duction in Fujian Province were firstly summarized. Based on categorized timber consumption structure, steady-state characteristics of timber consumption and predictions on proportions of consumption structure from 2015 to 2020 were made by Markov chain model. Results implied that regional timber consumption structure of Fujian Province was divided into log, fuelwood, hygienic chopsticks, wood-based panel, wood floors, secondary processing board, papermaking, self occupied timber, with proportions of steady state be-ing 13.66%, 0.96%, 36.77%, 8.28%, 17.99%, 1.86%, 13.52%, 6.92%, respectively.

关 键 词：马尔科夫链 木材消耗结构 福建省 稳态 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济] F253.4