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机构地区:[1]中国气象科学研究院,北京100081 [2]南京信息工程大学大气科学学院,南京210044 [3]中国气象局数值预报中心,北京100081 [4]中国气象局气象宣传与科普中心,北京100081
出 处:《应用气象学报》2016年第6期666-675,共10页Journal of Applied Meteorological Science
基 金:"十二五"国家科技支撑计划(2012BAC22B01);国家自然科学基金项目(41375108);公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY20-1406005)
摘 要:如何在长时间积分的过程中保证模式大气的质量守恒是数值模式动力框架面临的基本问题之一,对于半拉格朗日动力框架来说,在理论上要满足质量守恒面临着诸多的困难,质量订正方案不失为一种简单可行的选择。中国气象局数值预报中心的GRAPES_GFS(Global-Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System,Global Forecast System)在长时间积分过程中质量损失问题较为明显,该研究工作借鉴C^CAM(Climate-CommunityAtmosphere Model)中对地面气压进行订正控制模式质量守恒的思路,在GRAPES_GFS中开发了一种对每个网格内的质量按照不同权重系数进行调整、控制模式大气总质量守恒的算法。经过一系列的试验,验证了该方法在GRAPES_GFS中的可行性,在保证模式质量守恒的情况下可有效减小高度场的预报偏差,缓解模式预报结果中天气系统偏弱的问题,在实际业务预报中有一定应用价值。The conservation of mass is very important for the dynamic core of numerical model,especially for climate simulation or medium and long term prediction.For the traditional semi-Lagrangian dynamic core,it is difficult to satisfy the mass conservation theoretically,the finite volume method can be used in the semiLagrangian continuous equation to satisfy the mass conservation in theory,but the practical application is more complex,and no operational center adopt the method at this time.On the other hand,the traditional semi-Lagrangian method combined with a simple and easy mass correction algorithm is also a good choice.The GRAPESGFS(Global-Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System,Global Forecast System)of Numerical Prediction Center of CMA(China Meteorological Administration) faces a problem that the mass loss is obviously in the process of long term integration.The global mean sea level pressure drops about 1 hPa in 10-day run,due to the choice of the continuity equation and the calculation accuracy of the dynamical core.In the early times of development,there is a very simple mass correction algorithm in GRAPESGFS,however,in the process of batch testing of the system in 2013,it is found that this algorithm will lead to the increase of the height bias at the top level of the model,so the algorithm is closed.Ideas of C-CAM(Climate-Community Atmosphere Model) model are drawn on,to achieve mass conservation through the correction of surface pressure.A method is developed adjusting mass in each grid box according to different weight coefficient,with the basic idea of modifying more in the grid boxes which have larger changes in mass while less in those with smaller changes.The feasibility of this method is verified by a series of experiments,including ideal test,real case prediction and a batch of cycle prediction,illustrating that the method can effectively reduce the bias of height field under the premise of ensuring the mass conservation,and alleviate the problem of underestimating weather systems.It
关 键 词:GRAPES_GFS 质量守恒 半拉格朗日
分 类 号:P456.7[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
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