海上溢油行为与归宿数值预测技术研究进展  

Advance research on numerical prediction technology of marine oil spill behavior and fate

作　　者：李欢[1,2] 李程[1] 邵伟增 徐珊珊[1] 董军兴[1] 匡晓迪[4] 张松[5] 邓丽静[1] LI Huan LI Chengl SHAO Wei-zeng ZHANG XU Shan-shan DONG Jun-xing KUANG Xiao-di ZHANG Song DENG Li-jing(National Marine Data and Information Service, Tianjin 300171, China College of Oceanic and AtmosphericSciences, Ocean Uni- versity of China, Qingdao 266100, China Marine Acoustics and Remote Sensing Laboratory, Zhejiang Ocean University, Zhoushan 316022,China National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Beijing 100081, China National Ocean Technology Center, Tianjin 300112, China)

机构地区：[1]国家海洋信息中心,天津300171 [2]海洋与大气学院,中国海洋大学,山东青岛266100 [3]海洋声学与遥感应用科学技术实验室,浙江海洋大学,浙江舟山316022 [4]国家海洋环境预报中心,北京100081 [5]国家海洋技术中心,天津300112

出　　处：《海洋环境科学》2017年第1期155-160,共6页Marine Environmental Science

基　　金：天津市科技支撑计划项目(14ZCZDSF00012);浙江省公益性技术应用研究工业项目(2015C31021);国家自然科学基金项目(41306007);国家科技支撑计划项目(2014BAB12B02)

摘　　要：近年来,庞大的能源需求促使了我国海上石油运输业和开采业的井喷式发展,也加剧了海上溢油事故的风险。一次严重的溢油事故往往会给海洋环境造成不可逆转的伤害,给经济带来无法估量的损失。因此,开展海上溢油行为与归宿数值预测技术研究是非常有必要的,能够为海上溢油应急响应提供技术支撑。本文综述了海上溢油行为与归宿数值预测技术的发展过程以及相关研究成果,包括溢油物理扩展模型、溢油漂移与扩散模型、溢油风化模型以及溢油预测模型系统,为未来海上溢油应急响应工作提供理论依据。In recent years, the huge energy demand prompted a blowout development of marine oil transport and oil production activities in China, but also significantly increased the risk of oil spill accidents. A serious oil spill may bring irreversible harm to the marine environment, and will cause an immeasurable loss of economy. Therefore, it is necessary that the study on numerical prediction technology of marine oil spill behavior and fate and can provide tech- nical support for oil spill response. This paper briefly introduced the development and achievements of the numerical prediction technology of oil spill behavior and fate, including the oil spill spreading model, the oil spill drift and diffu- sion model, the weathering model and the oil spill prediction model system, which provide the theoretic criterions for the future work on oil spill response.

关 键 词：海上溢油 溢油物理扩展模型 溢油漂移与扩散模型 溢油风化模型 溢油预测模型系统 

分 类 号：X55[环境科学与工程—环境工程]