经济集聚、空间溢出与农民增收  

Economic Agglomeration,Spatial Spillover and Farmers' income

作　　者：张琛[1] 孔祥智[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京100872

出　　处：《农林经济管理学报》2017年第1期29-39,共11页Journal of Agro-Forestry Economics and Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目(13AZD003);农业部软科学课题(D201519)

摘　　要：运用1998—2013年我国省级面板数据,在构建经济集聚对农民收入的理论分析框架的基础上,运用空间计量经济学测度经济集聚对农民收入的直接效应、间接效应以及总效应。研究结果表明:我国各省农村家庭人均纯收入在不同的空间关联模式下,具有显著的空间依赖性和空间异质性,存在低水平聚集的现象。控制工业化率、资本劳动比以及人均农业总产值等变量,邻接权重和经济权重下经济集聚对农民收入在区域内部、区域间及总溢出效应均具有显著正向影响。稳健性检验结果表明:东部地区需谨防工业化虹吸效应的不利影响,中西部地区需保障区域内部合理的经济结构比例、降低技术外溢的区域间距离。Based on the panel data of provinces from 1998 to 2013 and the theoretical analysis framework of the economic agglomeration on farmers＇ income,this paper measured the direct and the total effect of economic agglomeration on farmers＇ income with the help of spatial econometrics.The results show that under different spatial association patterns,significant spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity characterize the per capita net income of rural households in China＇s provinces,and that low-scale gathering does exist.When such variables as industrialization,per capita agricultural output,and capital-labor ratio are controlled,both the overall spillover effect and the spillover effect of economic agglomeration on farmers＇ income within and inter the region become positive,passing the test of significance in adjacent weight and economic weight.The robustness test indicates that industrialization also generates the siphon effect which is not conducive to farmers＇ income in the east region.It is important to guarantee reasonable economic security within the proportion of the regional structure and reduce the adverse effect of technology spillover in order to help farmers increase their income in middle and west region.

关 键 词：经济集聚 农民收入 空间溢出效应 空间计量经济学 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]