基于M-V舰载机着舰风险的动态决策方法研究  

Study on dynamic multi-attribute decision of aircraft landing risk based on mean and variance

作　　者：杨巍巍[1] 张玉茹[1] 李晖[1] 张丽霞[1] 苏晓东[1] 姜海涛[1] 潘庆和[1] YANG Wei-wei ZHANG Yu-ru LI Hui ZHANG Li-xia SU Xiao-dong JIANG Hai-tao PAN Qing-he(School of Computer, Harbin University of Commerce, Harbin 150028, China)

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨商业大学计算机学院,哈尔滨150028

出　　处：《哈尔滨商业大学学报（自然科学版）》2016年第4期453-457,共5页Journal of Harbin University of Commerce：Natural Sciences Edition

基　　金：黑龙江省自然科学基金(F201423)

摘　　要：为了降低舰载机着舰风险、提高飞行员和航母舰载机系统的安全性,提出基于均值-方差的舰载机着舰风险评估的动态多属性决策方法.属性值以三角模糊数形式给出,通过可能度和排序公式得到排序向量;依据各时刻排序值对期望排序产生的排序波动,进行条件分析,获得各组方案的排序结果.最后,通过对舰载机着舰风险实例的评测,证实了本文提出的决策方法的可行性.To reduce the risk of aircraft landing and improve the safety of pilots and aircraft carrier system,this paper proposed a dynamic multi- attribute decision making method of aircraft landing risk based on mean value and variance. Attribute values were provided in the form of triangular fuzzy number. According to calculations of possibility degree and ordering vector,the difference between expected value and each ordering value,then the ordering result was obtained by analyzing. The evaluation of aircraft landing risk examples proved the feasibility of the proposed decision making method.

关 键 词：着舰风险 动态决策 三角模糊数 排序波动 

分 类 号：V271[航空宇航科学与技术—飞行器设计]