多车道高速公路事故特征关联分析  

Correlation Analysis of Accident Characteristics on Multilane Highway

作　　者：马兆有[1,2] 方守恩[1] 王长君 MA Zhaoyou FANG Shouen WANG Changjun(Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of the Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, P. R. China Key Laboratory of Road Traffic Safety of the Ministry of Public Security, Traffic Management Research Institute of Public Security Ministry, Wuxi 214151, Jiangsu, P. R. China)

机构地区：[1]同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海201804 [2]公安部交通管理科学研究所道路交通安全公安部重点实验室,江苏无锡214151

出　　处：《重庆交通大学学报（自然科学版）》2016年第6期115-119,共5页Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science)

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划项目(2014BAG01B05)

摘　　要：在分析中国高速公路安全现状的基础上,应用关联规则深入剖析某条多车道高速公路90起交通死亡事故主要特征,阐述多车道高速公路具有第一、第四车道事故高发、涉及重型半挂汽车列车和小型客车事故死亡率高、驾乘人员未系安全带飞出车外死亡人数较多、疲劳驾驶导致的死亡人数最多等规律。研究表明:高速公路应重点管控重型半挂汽车列车和小型客车,严查驾乘人员未系安全带和疲劳驾驶违法行为,规范下车人员的交通行为,进而降低伤亡事故的发生几率。On the basis of analyzing the highway safety of current China,the correlation rules were used to deeply analyze the main characteristics of 90 traffic accidents mortality on a multilane highway. Several rules were elaborated,such as： the first and the fourth lane were accident prone; accidents mortality of heavy semi-trailer trains and minibuses was high; the driver and passengers without wearing a seatbelt and flying out of the vehicle died more; the death toll from fatigue driving was the most. The results show that： in highway management,to reduce the occurrence of casualty accidents,the control of heavyduty semi-trailer trains and minibuses should be focused; the behavior of the driver or passengers without wearing seat belts and the illegal activities of fatigue driving should be severely investigated; and the traffic behavior of the personnel off the vehicle should be regulated.

关 键 词：交通运输工程 交通安全 事故特征 关联分析 

分 类 号：U491.3[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]