京津冀与长三角区域煤炭消费影响效应对比分析——基于面板数据的实证检验  

作　　者：丁日佳[1] 张亦冰[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)管理学院

出　　处：《企业经济》2017年第2期109-114,共6页Enterprise Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"煤矿绿色生态投入动力分析及机制设计研究"(项目编号:71303235)

摘　　要：受环境污染的影响,我国对京津冀与长三角地区制定了严格的控煤政策。本文以京津冀与长三角地区共6省(市)为研究对象,以经济水平、产业结构、能源消费结构与城镇化水平作为煤炭消费的主要影响因素,选取1994-2013年的数据,构建面板数据模型,通过单位根检验、协整检验、模型估计、误差修正模型等分析方法,对两大地区煤炭消费与各影响因素之间的关系进行分析并对比两地的差异,得到了煤炭消费的影响因素在不同地区的长短期效应存在明显差异的结论。最后,提出了在制定煤炭产业发展政策时应有所侧重的关注影响因素,因地制宜、因时制宜地对煤炭消费作出判断并对其进行调整。Due to the environmental pollution, our country established strict coal control policies in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area and Yangtze River Delta. Six provinces that belong to Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area and Yangtze River Delta are objects of the study. Economic level, industry structure, energy consumption structure and urbanization level are the main factors influ- encing coal consumption. The panel data model is built by using data from 1994 to 2013. Relationship between coal con- sumption and influence factors in the two regions are analyzed and compared by using the unit root test, cointegration test, estimate model and error correction model. Conclusions are made that the short and long term effects of coal consumption influence factors in different regions are obviously different. Finally, suggestions are put forward that influence factors should be paid attention to when coal industry development policies and decisions as well as adjustments on coal consumption should be made according to circumstances and conditions.

关 键 词：京津冀 长三角 煤炭消费 影响因素 面板数据 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]