城镇化与农村居民持久收入关系的实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Urbanization and Sustainable Income of Rural Residents

作　　者：吴悠[1] 高燕[1] 王静[1] 杜为公[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉轻工大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《江西科技学院学报》2017年第1期37-41,共5页Journal of Jiangxi University of Technology

基　　金：国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(NO.13FJY007);湖北省社会科学项目(NO.2014043)

摘　　要：城镇化与农村居民生活水平之间存在密切的关系，使用1978-2015年我国城镇化和农村居民持久收入的时间序列数据实证分析发现：城镇化增加是农村居民持久收入增加的Granger原因，但是农村居民持久收入不是城镇化变化的Granger原因；我国城镇化率和农村居民持久收入之间存在长期的均衡关系，从长期来看，城镇化率每增加1个百分点，农村居民持久收入增加3．10元，且该结果在5％水平下显著。在此基础上，提出相应的政策建议，充分发挥城镇化对农民持久收入的长期促进作用。There is a close relationship between urbanization and the living standard of rural residents. By using the time series data of Chinese urbanization and rural residents lasting income from 1978 to 2015, this paper finds that the in- crease of the urbanization is the Granger cause for the rural lasting income, but rural residents permanent income is not the Granger cause for the urbanization. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between Chinese urbanization and rural lasting income.From a long-term point of view, if urbanization rate increases by 1 percentage point, rural residents perma- nent income will increase 3.10 yuan and the result is significant at the 5% level. On this basis, this paper puts forward cor- responding suggestions to play the function of urbanization on the increase of the rural income.

关 键 词：城镇化 持久收入 协整分析 农民 

分 类 号：F014.44[经济管理—政治经济学]