价格波动背景下生猪产业链利益分配格局——基于两种养殖模式产业链的调研  

Study on Benefit Distribution of Swine Industry Chain under Price Volatility——Based on Survey of Two Raising Models of Industry Chain

作　　者：李文瑛[1,2] 宋长鸣[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉430070 [2]蚌埠学院经济与管理学院,安徽蚌埠233010

出　　处：《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2017年第2期8-14,共7页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"金融化背景下我国农产品期货与现货市场风险评价与传导研究"(71673103);安徽省教育厅人文社会科学重点项目"安徽生猪收益保险制度研究"(SK2016A0584)

摘　　要：利用X-12季节调整模型及H-P滤波法,分析生猪价格波动的季节性、周期性及趋势性特征。在此基础上,利用从河南中牟生猪收购到浙江余姚猪肉销售各环节价格变动及成本费用的构成数据,分析价格波动对生猪产业链利益分配的影响,结果表明,自繁自养方式的收益高于专业育肥方式;生猪价格是全产业链价格波动的振源,并以非对称方式传递到猪肉价格,生猪养殖环节收益波动最大,是产业链中最脆弱、风险最大的一环,生猪市场的供求矛盾取决于供给。因此,推进生猪产业链一体化、推动生猪保险产品多元化、提高养殖户专业知识水平等对于解决生猪价格大幅度周期性波动问题尤为迫切。Based on X-12 seasonal adjustment model and H-P Filter,this paper analyzes the characters of seasonality,periodicity and tendency of swine price volatility.On this basis,this paper analyzes the impact of price volatility on interests' allocation of the swine industry chain by using the data of price volatility and cost produced in every part of purchasing the swine in Zhongmou,Henan province and marketing the swine in Yuyao,Zhejiang province.The result shows that yield of swine propagated and raised by themselves is higher than that of professional fattened.The price of the swine is the vibration source of the price volatility of the whole industry chain,which is transferred to the price of the pork in an unsymmetrical way.The yields of swine raising vary sharply,which is the weakest and highest risk part of the industry chain.The contradiction of supply and demand depends on supply.Therefore,it is urgent to promote the integration of the swine industry chain,develop the diversification of the swine insurance,improve the level of farmers professional knowledge,which can resolve the problem of the periodic price volatility of the swine.

关 键 词：生猪产业 价格波动 产业链 利益分配 X-12季节调整模型 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]