Effects of Labor Price Hike and Population Ageing on Rural Land Lease in China  

作　　者：杨进 陈志钢 

机构地区：[1]School of Economics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology (HUST), Wuhan, China [2]International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Beijing, China

出　　处：《China Economist》2017年第2期66-80,共15页中国经济学人（英文版）

基　　金：the Youth Program of National Social Sciences Foundation"Study on the Impact of Rising Cost of Labor on China's Grain Production"(Project Code:13CGL085);major international(regional)cooperation project of the National Natural Sciences Foundation"Agricultural Organizational System and the Development of Farmers'Cooperatives:Study on the Innovation and Optimization of Agricultural Organizational System"(Grant No.71333011);international(regional)cooperation and exchange project of the National Natural Sciences Foundation"Demographic Transition,Rural-Urban Population Flow and China's Agricultural and Rural Development"(Grant No.70673035)

摘　　要：In answering the questions as whether China's rising labor price and ageing workforce have affected rural land leasing and whether these factors have any joint effect,we have employed RCRE data of the Ministry of Agriculture to carry out an empirical analysis and the result indicates that labor price hike has significant positive effects on both the land lease-in and lease-out of rural households,i.e.labor price hike will help increase the land leasing of rural households.At the level of ageing workforce,our empirical results indicate that ageing workforce does not create any significant impact on rural land leasing market no matter for land lease-in or lease-out in overall samples,plain regions and mountainous regions.In our empirical analysis on whether ageing workforce will intensify or weaken the effects of labor price hike on rural land leasing market,the regression result also indicates that there is no significant effect from a statistical perspective.In answering the questions as whether China＇s rising labor price and ageing workforce have affected rural land leasing and whether these factors have any joint effect, we have employed RCRE data of the Ministry of Agriculture to carry out an empirical analysis and the result indicates that labor price hike has significant positive effects on both the land lease-in and lease-out of rural households, i.e. labor price hike will help increase the land leasing of rural households. At the level of ageing workforce, our empirical results indicate that ageing workforce does not create any significant impact on rural land leasing market no matter for land lease-in or lease-out in overall samples, plain regions and mountainous regions. In our empirical analysis on whether ageing workforce will intensify or weaken the effects of labor price hike on rural land leasing market, the regression result also indicates that there is no significant effect from a statistical perspective.

关 键 词：labor priee ageing land leasing 

分 类 号：F321[经济管理—产业经济]