2016～2020年我国煤炭需求量预测  

Prediction of Coal Demand in China from 2016 to 2020

作　　者：高士友[1] 才庆祥[1] 彭晓晴[1] 高亭[1] 高岩[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学矿业工程学院,江苏徐州221116

出　　处：《煤炭技术》2017年第3期331-332,共2页Coal Technology

基　　金：国家高技术研究发展计划(863)项目(2012AA062004);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划资助(NCET-13-1022)

摘　　要：根据近10 a我国总能源需求增长率与经济增长率的数据,分析我国总能源与经济之间的相关系数,通过国家十三五规划的预设经济增长目标,采用线性回归预测方法,预测能源需求量,在此基础上,以煤炭在总能源消费中所占比例,提出未来几年我国煤炭的需求量。According to the data of China＇s total energy demand growth rate in the last 10 years, the correlation coefficient between the total energy and economic growth rate and economy in China is analyzed. In light of the 13th Five-Year Plan preset economic growth target, energy demand is forecasted by using linear regression prediction method. On this basis, put forward quantity demanded of coal in China in the next few years according to the proportion of coal in total energy consumption.

关 键 词：煤炭 能源 经济增长 回归预测 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F426