全球LNG市场发展及其对中国的启示  

Global LNG Market Development and Enlightenment to China

作　　者：皮礼仕 蒲明[2] 王保登 

机构地区：[1]"油气管道输送安全国家工程实验室/城市油气输配技术北京市重点实验室".中国石油大学(北京),北京102249 [2]中国石油规划总院,北京100083 [3]中国石油管道公司中原输油气公司,山东德州253020

出　　处：《天然气技术与经济》2017年第1期46-50,共5页Natural Gas Technology and Economy

摘　　要：当前,全球LNG市场区域性出口现状异于往年,大西洋、中东地区出口量下滑,太平洋地区出口量增幅巨大,澳大利亚为主要增长力;亚洲LNG市场需求放缓,"新兴市场"维持全球进口量增长势头;全球LNG贸易流向变化显著,卡塔尔出口重心偏向欧洲;亚洲LNG短期合同价格低迷,"溢价空间"开始减小;LNG贸易方式趋于灵活化,非长期贸易合同备受青睐。在此变化趋势下,基于中国LNG市场发展分析,建议中国把握LNG市场下行期机遇,优化能源供应结构;理顺国内天然气市场价格,适时提速天然气价格改革;对已签署的不合理高价长贸合同进行谈判复议;加强与东北亚各国合作,谋求互利共赢。At present, the regional export of global LNG market is different from that in former years. The export volume in the Atlantic and Middle East Regions declines, export volume in the Pacific Region grows at a quick speed and Australia becomes a main growth force. The LNG market demand in Asia slows down and Emerging market maintains the growth rate of global import volume.Global LNG trade flow changes obviously and the export center of Qatar changes to Europe. In Asia, LNG short-term contract has low price and space for premium is narrowed. LNG trade modes becomeflexible and non-long term trade contract are favored. Under this change trend, based on analysis on Chinese LNG market development, the paper suggests China to grasp the opportunities in the downward stage of LNG market to optimize energy supply structure,rationalize the price in domestic natural gas market and appropriately speed up the reform of natural gas price, have negotiation and reconsideration on signed unreasonable long- term trade contracts at high prices, enhance the cooperation with countries in Northeast Asia and seek for mutual benefit and win-win.

关 键 词：LNG市场 天然气价格 天然气供应 中国 改革 

分 类 号：F426.22[经济管理—产业经济]