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作 者:黄文婷[1] 崔妙玲[1] 蒋云[1] 王自秀[1] 陆汪洋 柯斓[1] HUANG Wenting CUI Miaoling JIANG Yun WANG Zixiu LU Wangyang KE Lan(The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, China)
出 处:《山东医药》2017年第7期20-22,共3页Shandong Medical Journal
基 金:广西医疗卫生适宜技术开发与推广应用课题(S201665);广西急诊与医学救援人才小高地开放课题(GXJZ201427);广西医药卫生计划资助项目(Z2015513)
摘 要:目的探讨慢性呼吸系统早期预警评分(CREWS)与BAP-65评分对普通住院病房慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重期(AECOPD)患者是否需要机械通气(MV)的预测效能。方法选择211例普通住院病房AECOPD患者,根据治疗过程中是否需要MV分为行MV者(观察组)和未行MV者(对照组)。于入院24 h内对211例纳入者进行CREWS、BAP-65评分,观察CREWS、BAP-65评分对AECOPD患者是否需要MV治疗的预测效能。结果观察组和对照组CREWS分别为(5.91±2.67)、(3.39±1.74)分,两组相比,P<0.05。观察组BAP-65评分等级为Ⅰ级7例、Ⅱ级19例、Ⅲ级15例、Ⅳ级4例、Ⅴ级0例,对照组分别为31、97、36、2、0例,两组相比,P<0.05。CREWS、BAP-65评分预测AECOPD患者是否需要MV的ROC曲线下面积(AUROC)分别为0.779与0.598。两种评分的AUROC分别与AUROC=0.5比较,P均<0.05。CREWS预测普通住院病房AECOPD患者行MV的AUROC明显高于BAP-65评分的AUROC,P<0.05。CREWS预测患者是否需要MV的最佳截断点为>5分,灵敏度为51.11%,特异度为86.75%;BAP-65评分预测患者是否需要MV的最佳截断点为>Ⅱ级,灵敏度为42.22%,特异度为77.11%。结论 CREWS、BAP-65评分均可用于预测普通住院病房AECOPD患者是否需要MV治疗,但CREWS对普通住院病房AECOPD患者是否需要MV的预测效能优于BAP-65评分。Objective To investigate the validation of chronic respiratory early warning score( CREWS) and BAP-65 in predicting the need for mechanical ventilation( MV) in acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease( AECOPD) patients in normal ward. Methods A total of 211 patients with AECOPD in normal ward were selected. According to the need for MV they were divided into MV group( observation group) and non-MV group( control group).CREWS and BAP-65 were scored in 211 patients within 24 hours of admission. We built the ROC curve to analyze the performance of CREWS and BAP-65. Results The scores of CREWS in the observation group and control group were( 5. 91± 2. 67) and( 3. 39 ± 1. 74) points,and the differences were statistically significant( P 〈 0. 05). The grade of BAP-65 in observation group: there were 7 cases of gradeⅠ,19 cases of gradeⅡ,15 cases of gradeⅢ,4 cases of gradeⅣ and 0 of gradeⅤ,while they were 31,97,36,2 and 0 cases,respectively in the control group( P 〈 0. 05). The AUROC of CREWS and BAP-65 that predicted MV were 0. 779 and 0. 598,respectively,and the differences were statistically significant( P 〈 0. 05). AUROC of CREWS was significantly higher than that of BAP-65 in predicting the need for MV in AECOPD patients in normal ward( P 〈 0. 05). The cut-off points of CREWS were 〉 5,the sensitivity was 51. 11%,and the specificity was 86. 75%. The cut-off points of BAP-65 were 〉 Ⅱ grade,the sensitivity was 42. 22%,and the specificity was 77. 11%. Conclusion Both CREWS and BAP-65 can be used to predict the need for MV of AECOPD patients in normal ward,but the performance of CREWS is more accurate and suitable than that of BAP-65.
关 键 词:慢性阻塞性肺疾病 机械通气 慢性呼吸系统早期预警评分 BAP-65评分
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