基于案例推理的潜艇研制风险评估方法  

Submarine Development Risk Evaluation Method by Case-Based Reasoning

作　　者：江山[1] 刘刚[2] 

机构地区：[1]海军工程大学训练部,湖北武汉430033 [2]海军工程大学管理工程系,湖北武汉430033

出　　处：《装备制造技术》2017年第1期191-194,共4页Equipment Manufacturing Technology

基　　金：总装技术基础课题(4314231428);军队院校2110工程三期资助项目

摘　　要：为了有效地评估潜艇研制过程中的风险,提升风险管理和控制能力,分析了潜艇研制风险评估的案例和案例库,探讨了案例推理的主要流程,提出了基于案例推理的潜艇研制风险评估方法。实例证明,该方法能够有效地评估潜艇研制风险,满足潜艇研制立项论证决策需求。In order to evaluate the risk of submarine development effectively, advance the ability of risk management and control, the case and case base of submarine development risk evaluation were analyzed, the main flow of case-based reasoning was discussed, and submarine development risk evaluation method by case- Based reasoning was presented. The example proved that this method can evaluate the submarine development risk effectively, and satisfy the decision demand of submarine development demonstration.

关 键 词：研制风险 相似性分析 案例推理 

分 类 号：U674.76[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]