收入分配对跨越“中等收入陷阱”的影响——理论研究与实证分析  

The Impact of Income Distribution on the Middle Income Trap:Theoretical Research and Empirical Analysis

作　　者：胡在铭[1] HU Zai-ming(Zhoukou Normal University, Zhoukou 466000,Chin)

机构地区：[1]周口师范学院,河南周口466000

出　　处：《西安财经学院学报》2017年第2期30-35,共6页Journal of Xi’an University of Finance & Economics

基　　金：河南省哲学社会科学规划项目"河南自主创新能力建设现状;问题与对策研究"(2015BJJ016)

摘　　要："十三五"规划将2016—2020年经济增长速度界定在6.5%以上,但这一宏伟目标能不能实现,跟中国能否顺利跨越中等收入陷阱高度相关。文章对部分典型国家跨越"中等收入陷阱"的经验和教训进行比较分析后,利用世界银行发展指标数据库,构建相应的计量模型进行分析。结果表明,收入分配状况对跨越"中等收入陷阱"影响十分显著。在对我国经济发展历程的描述性分析中也发现,改革开放以来,我国人均GDP与基尼系数的X-Y曲线关系与库兹涅茨倒U型曲线的契合度很高。＂Thirteenth five at more than 6.5% from 2 die--income trap. The au year development plan＂ that China＇s economic growth rate must be maintained 016 to 2010, but the realization of this ambitious goal to be affected by the mid- thor analyzes the experiences and lessons of some typical countries across the ＂middle--income trap＂, and then construct the corresponding econometric model using the world bank de- velopment indicators database. Analysis results show that the income distribution is significant to cross the ＂middle income trap＂. The analysis also found that since the reform and opening up in the process of Chi- na＇s economic development descriptive, China＇s per capita GDP and Gini coefficient X--Y curve relation- ship and Kuznets inverted U curve fit very high.

关 键 词：收入分配 “中等收入陷阱” 作用机理 库兹涅茨假说 

分 类 号：F014.4[经济管理—政治经济学]