基于汶川地震震例用震兆共迁方法对地震预测的讨论  

Discussion on Earthquake Prediction by Using the Method of Earthquake Precursor Co-migration Based on Wenchuan Earthquake

作　　者：郭增建[1] 郭安宁[1] 李健梅[2] 白雪见 

机构地区：[1]中国地震局兰州地震研究所,兰州730000 [2]广东省地震局,广州510070

出　　处：《华南地震》2016年第4期8-13,共6页South China Journal of Seismology

基　　金："SRC框架结构材料-结构一体化优化设计及应用"国家教育部博导学科点基金(20136120110003)

摘　　要：介绍了地震预测的两个思路,即"源场思路"和"源线思路"。主要用源线思路回顾性地讨论了由云南和滇川交界地区的远台前兆预测2008年汶川大震的问题。预测的方法可称为"震兆共迁法"。Two ways of thinking about earthquake prediction are introduced, namely ＂source field idea＂ and ＂source line idea＂ . By using the source line idea, the paper retrospectively discusses the prediction of the Wenchuan strong earthquake in 2008 by the precursors recorded by remote stations in Yunnan and Yunnan Sichuan border area. The method of prediction can be called the ＂earthquake precursor co-migration＂

关 键 词：源场思路 源线思路 远台前兆 汶川大震 震兆共迁法 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学]