吐鲁番市旅游-经济-生态协调发展系统动力学研究  

Study on the System Dynamics for the Coordinated Development of Tourism-Economy-Ecology in Turpan Area

作　　者：杨晋娟[1] 朱怡婷[2] YANG Jin-juan ZHU Yi-ting(College of Distance Education,Xinjiang Radio and TV University, Urumqi 830049,China College of Tourism,Xinjiang University,Ummqi 830046,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆广播电视大学远程教育学院,乌鲁木齐830049 [2]新疆大学旅游学院,乌鲁木齐830046

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2017年第3期583-587,共5页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：新疆广播电视大学2014年度科学研究课题(14xjddktzc24)

摘　　要：运用系统动力学思想,对2001-2030年新疆吐鲁番市旅游、经济、生态之间的反馈关系和相互作用程度进行模拟,构建系统动力学模型。设置旅游人数、旅游收入;GDP及其增加量;"三废"量分别对旅游、经济、生态子系统进行模拟和预测分析,以期为吐鲁番市旅游资源、设施的合理分配以及旅游业科学规划提供依据,进而提出了促进吐鲁番市旅游-经济-生态协调发展的对策。Based on the idea of system dynamics,the mutual feedback and interaction degree of tourism,economy and ecology in Turpan city from 2001 to 2030 were simulated,and the system dynamic model was built.The number of tourists and tourism income,GDP and GDP growth,and the ＂three wastes＂ were set up to respectively stimulate and analyze the tourism,economic and ecological subsystems,in order to provide basis for reasonably allocating tourist resources and facilities,and scientifically planning the tourism in Turpan city,and then the countermeasures for promoting the coordinated development of tourism-economy-ecology in Turpan city were put forward.

关 键 词：旅游-经济-生态 系统动力学 协调发展 吐鲁番市 

分 类 号：F590.1[经济管理—旅游管理]