长三角地区二氧化碳排放与经济增长脱钩关系的实证研究  

An Empirical Analysis of Decoupling Relations between Economic Growth and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Yangtze River Delta Region

作　　者：郭炳南[1] 林基[2] 刘堂发[3] 

机构地区：[1]江苏科技大学公共管理学院,江苏镇江212003 [2]浙江财经大学金融学院,浙江杭州310018 [3]南昌大学共青学院,江西共青332020

出　　处：《生态经济》2017年第4期25-29,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：全国统计科学研究项目"低碳经济下中国碳排放效率的提升潜力与实现路径研究"(2015LY72);教育部青年基金"中国国际贸易隐含碳的测算及碳减排责任分配研究"(14YJC790081);浙江省社会科学界联合会研究课题"浙江省碳生产率潜在增长率的估算及优化分配研究"(2015N080)

摘　　要：二氧化碳排放与经济增长之间的关系一直是学术界关注的焦点问题。运用IPCC推荐的二氧化碳计算方法测算了1997—2014年长三角地区的二氧化碳排放量,并通过构建基于脱钩理论的Tapio脱钩模型,实证研究了长三角地区二氧化碳排放与经济增长之间的脱钩关系及程度,分析了二者脱钩弹性发展的时间演变趋势。结果表明,长三角地区各省市二氧化碳与经济增长的脱钩关系发展呈现不平衡状态,弱脱钩、扩张连接、强脱钩的状态交替出现,多数时期处于弱脱钩状态。在此基础上,进一步分析了长三角地区二氧化碳与经济增长脱钩弹性变化差异的原因,并提出了相应的政策建议。The relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions has been the focus of academic attention. In this paper, the carbon dioxide calculation method recommended by IPCC has been used to measure the carbon dioxide emissions in Yangtze River Delta region from 1997 to 2014, and by constructing Tapio decoupling model based on decoupling theory, we do empirical study of the decoupling relationship and degree between dioxide emissions and economic growth and analyze the two in time-evolution tendency of decoupling elastic development. The results show the imbalance between carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth. Weak decoupling, expansion connection and strong decoupling state appear alternately. On this basis, further analysis has been made to figure out the reason of the difference between carbon dioxide and economic elastic change in Yangtze River Delta region, and some corresponding policy suggestions have been put forward.

关 键 词：二氧化碳 经济增长 脱钩 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]