中国与其他金砖国家果蔬贸易发展研究——基于贸易比较优势、互补性和增长潜力的实证分析  

Trade development of fruits and vegetables in China and other BRICS countries:an empirical analysis based on trade comparative advantage,complementarity and growth potential

作　　者：任育锋[1] 李哲敏[2] 张超[2] 康敏[3] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所,北京100081 [2]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/农业部农业信息服务技术重点实验室/中国农业科学院智能化农业预警技术与系统重点开放实验室,北京100081 [3]山西省农业科学院农业资源与经济研究所,太原032200

出　　处：《世界农业》2017年第3期115-121,158,共8页World Agriculture

基　　金：农业部国际合作项目"金砖国家农业信息比较研究";农业部2016年创新人才项目"主要农产品市场监测预警关键技术研究";中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目农业数字化管理创新团队(任务书编号:CAAS-ASTIP-2015-AII-02)

摘　　要：2000年以来,中国与其他金砖国家果蔬贸易整体迅速发展,其他金砖国家成为中国果蔬重要的出口目的地和新兴进口来源市场。本研究以2000—2015年数据为基础,描述了中国与其他金砖国家果蔬贸易概况,深入分析了金砖国家间果蔬贸易的比较优势、互补性和未来增长潜力。研究发现:中国、南非的果蔬均具有出口比较优势,其中中国的蔬菜和南非的水果出口优势最为明显;就互补性而言,中国果蔬出口与印度进口互补性最强,中国果蔬进口与南非出口互补性最强;就增长潜力来看,中国果蔬出口与巴西进口的增长潜力最大。The trade of fruits and vegetables in China and other BRICS countries has developed rapidly since 2000,and other BRICS countries have become one of China's important export destinations of fruits and vegetables and emerging import market.Based on the data from 2000 to 2015,this study analyzes the situation,comparative advantage,complementarity and growth potential of fruits and vegetables trade in China and other BRICS countries.The results showed that fruits and vegetables in China and South Africa have export comparative advantage,in which export advantage of China's vegetables and South Africa's fruits was the most obvious respectively.In terms of complementarity,the exports of China's fruits and vegetables have the strongest complementarity with India,and the imports of China's fruits and vegetables have the strongest complementarity with South Africa.On the growth potential,the exports of China's fruits and vegetables have largest growth potential with Brazi.

关 键 词：果蔬贸易 比较优势 互补性 增长潜力 中国 金砖国家 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.6