基于产业内贸易视角的“一带一路”国家战略研究  

Research on National Strategy of “One Belt, One Road” An IntraIndustry Trade Perspective

作　　者：冯宗宪[1,2] 蒋伟杰[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学金禾经济研究中心 [2]西安交通大学经济与金融学院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2017年第3期166-176,共11页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目"基于碳减排的产业有序转移和区域协调发展研究"(1282D070);国家自然科学基金面上项目"非市场经济地位过渡期救济与投资壁垒的风险预警和效应评估"(71073124);陕西省社会科学基金面向"十三五"重大理论与现实问题研究项目"陕西开创‘一带一路’全方位对外开放新局面研究"(2016ZDA08)

摘　　要：文章利用2007-2014年贸易统计数据,分析中国与"一带一路"沿线国家的产业内贸易及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)中国与"一带一路"沿线国家的产业内贸易水平相对较低,客观上需要构建合作平台,推进发展中国家间的产业内贸易;(2)从区域来看,中国与东盟国家的产业内贸易水平相对较高;(3)从产业内贸易决定因素看,市场规模差异以及贸易开放度对产业内贸易具有正向影响,而人均收入水平差异及FDI对产业内贸易具有显著的抑制作用;(4)不同类型产品产业内贸易的决定因素存在较大差异。因此,充分利用"一带一路"国家战略平台,促进发展中国家间的产业内贸易,将是中国新型开放经济战略的重要举措。Using the trade statistic data of China and its partners from ＂One Belt, One Road＂, we investigate the intra-industry trade between those countries and its determinants. The results show that：（l） intra-industry trade between China and ＂One Belt, One Road＂ countries are relatively low, which pushes us to build a platform to enhance cooperation and promote intra-industry trade among developing countries;（2） from the regional perspective, the intra-industry trade between China and ASEAN countries are relatively higher than the oth- er regions in ＂One Belt, One Road＂ ;（3） among the determinants of intra-industry trade, market size and openness have a positive effect on intra-industry trade, while income per capita and FDI have a significant negative effect onit;（4）the de- terminants of intra-industry trade varies among different industries. Therefore, we should take full use of the ＂One Belt, One Road＂ national strategy to build a self-dominated GVC, and promote the intra-industry trade among developing countries, which should be an important step towards China＇ s new open economic strategy.

关 键 词：一带一路 产业内贸易 贸易类型 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]