资源约束下的应急预案重构方法研究  

A Study on Emergency Plan Reconstruction With Resource Constraint

作　　者：石彪[1] 池宏[1] 祁明亮[1] 李加莲[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京100190

出　　处：《中国管理科学》2017年第1期117-128,共12页Chinese Journal of Management Science

摘　　要：在引入预案的网络计划表达的基础上,为应急处置工序加入了所用资源种类、数量以及完成时间的约束,从提升应急管理的处置效率和处置效果出发,研究了多类突发事件并发或次生时,通过在线重构方式生成应急预案资源调度方案的方法。对制定应急预案资源调度方案的步骤、目标和考虑因素做了分析,并针对并行和互斥两类典型的情景组合问题构建了模型,设计了符合应急管理实际情况的启发式算法,通过一个航空公司的应急预案重构的示例对重构方法的应用过程做了阐述。On the basis of the expression by the introduction of the network plan technique,the emergency disposal processes are added with resource types,quantity,and completion time constraints.The way to generate resource scheduling program is explored by computer on-line reconstruction.To satisfy the disposal need of many types of emergencies concurrent or secondary contingency,the quantity limitation and time-window of total resources constraints are considered in the model.The steps,objectives and considerations of the development in resource scheduling scheme are analyzed,and the models both in parallel and mutually exclusive scenarios are constructed,a heuristic algorithm is designed,using the contingency plans for reconstruction of the sample in an airline.

关 键 词：应急预案 重构 资源约束 

分 类 号：C931.1[经济管理—管理学]