长江经济带市域人口城镇化的时空特征及影响因素  

Research on the Spatial-Temporal Pattern and Influencing Factors of Population Urbanization in Yangtze River Economic Belt

作　　者：刘欢[1,2] 邓宏兵[1,2] 谢伟伟[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,中国湖北武汉430074 [2]湖北省区域创新能力监测与分析软科学研究基地,中国湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《经济地理》2017年第3期55-62,共8页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(14BSH028)

摘　　要：从人口城镇化发展过程中的空间特征出发,以长江经济带130个主要城市为研究对象,分析长江经济带2006—2013年长江经济带人口城镇化的全局和局部空间演化特征及差异。在空间分析的基础上,利用空间面板数据构建空间计量模型,研究长江经济带人口城镇化空间差异的影响因素。结果表明:长江经济带人口城镇化全局空间自相关显著,局部集聚态势减弱,存在明显的空间分异;空间溢出效应明显,且正向溢出效应大于负向溢出效应。其中城市面积、教育水平对人口城镇化的空间差异存在负向影响,产业结构的优化和城市经济发展水平、区域创新能力、对外开放程度的提高,会对人口城镇化的空间格局产生正向影响,且目前绿色发展水平对长江经济带人口城镇化的空间差异影响并不显著。Study the spatial pattern and influencing factors of population urbanization has an important theoretical and practical significance to reveal space-time evolution characteristics of population urbanization development and can make contribution to promote the construction of the new urbanization. This article embarks from the spatial characteristics in the process of population urbanization development, taking 130 major cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt as a study area, to analyze the global and local spatial evolution characteristics and spatial differences. On the basis of the spatial analysis, to explain the influence factors which lead to the space differences by using spatial panel data to construct spatial econometric model. The results show that there is an obviously spatial differentiation during the population urbanization process in Yangtze River Economic Belt both in global spatial autocorrelation and local agglomeration, the positive spillover effects is greater than negative spillover effects. What＇ s more, the urban area and education level have negative externalities to population urbanization development while industrial structure, urban economy development and regional innovation ability have positive externalities. In addition, green development level has an indistinctive significantly influence on population urbanization development in Yangtze River Economic Belt.

关 键 词：长江经济带 新型城镇化 人口城镇化 区域创新能力 绿色发展 空间格局 

分 类 号：F061[经济管理—政治经济学]