一般均衡理论模型在农产品贸易研究中的应用分析  

Application of General Equilibrium Theory Model in Agricultural Products Trade Research

作　　者：梁丹辉[1] 李婷婷[1] Liang Danhui Li Tingting(Agricultural Information Institute of CA A S, Beijing 100081)

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所,北京100081

出　　处：《农业展望》2017年第2期78-81,共4页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：农业部软科学研究项目(Z201608)

摘　　要：目前,国内学者主要从自由贸易协定签署、贸易条件变化、国际农产品价格变动、人民币汇率波动等角度构建一般均衡理论模型,对农产品贸易流量的变化和贸易结构的变动开展研究。可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型和全球贸易分析(GTAP)模型都属于一般均衡理论模型,其中CGE模型的灵活性强,可以用做动态分析。拓宽研究视角、发展随机动态一般均衡(DSGE)模型是未来农产品贸易研究应用的重点。At present, the domestic scholars mainly constructed the general equilibrium theory model from the angles of the signing of free trade agreement, the change of the terms of trade, the fluctuation of international agricultural products prices and RMB exchange rate, and carried on the research on the changes of agricultural products trade flow and trade structure. Both the Computable General Equilibrium（CGE） model and the Global Trade Analysis Project（GTAP） model belong to the general equilibrium theory model, while the CGE model is more flexible and can be used for dynamic analysis. Broadening the research perspective and developing the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium（DSGE） model are the foci of future research on the application of agricultural products trade.

关 键 词：一般均衡理论模型 GTAP模型 CGE模型 应用 自由贸易区 关税 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.6