基于制造业技术创新的战略性贸易政策与我国产业结构优化研究  

Research on Strategic Trade Policy Based on Manufacturing Technology Innovation and Industrial Structure Optimization in China

作　　者：石卫星[1] 

机构地区：[1]淮阴工学院,淮安223001

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2017年第4期153-160,共8页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：江苏高校哲学社会科学研究项目"跨境电子商务对江苏企业出口行为微观作用机制研究"(项目编号:2016SJB790054)

摘　　要：文章采用理论分析、数理建模、实证分析等方法,对战略性贸易政策在制造业技术创新、产业结构升级与优化中的重要作用进行了研究。研究结果表明:(1)LZFTR(政府资金投入)与CJP(初级品)的相关系数r=-0.964,LZFTR与ZCP(工业制成品)的相关系数r=0.982(P<0.01)。表明战略性贸易政策能够有效降低初级品出口比重,增加工业制品的出口比重,从而促进出口贸易结构不断升级与优化;(2)战略性贸易政策对高技术制造业产品出口贸易固定效应、随机效应模型系数值均为正,战略性贸易政策政府研究发展补贴每增加100%,高技术产业对外贸易结构就会优化0.0042,说明战略性贸易政策对高技术制造业产品的外贸易结构变化有正向促进作用;(3)战略性贸易政策对各高技术制造行业贸易结构的影响不尽相同,其对医药制造业及各小类行业对外贸易出口产业结构优化均有明显的促进作用,其对仪器仪表出口贸易结构优化有着明显的促进作用,但是对医疗设备与器械制造出口贸易结构优化的促进作用并不显著。在此基础上作者提出了推动我国实现产业结构优化的相关战略性贸易政策建议,以期为提高我国制造业的自主创新能力,优化产业结构提供一定的理论参考。In this paper,the theoretical analysis,mathematical modeling,empirical analysis and other methods are used to study the important role of strategic trade policy in manufacturing technology innovation,industrial structure upgrading and optimization.The results show that：（1）the correlation coefficient between LZFTR（government funds input）and CJP（primary product）r＝-0.964,LZFTR and ZCP（manufactured goods）r＝0.982（P＜0.01）.That strategic trade policy can effectively reduce the proportion of exports of primary products,increase the proportion of exports of industrial products,so as to promote the import and export trade structure upgrading and optimization;（2）the strategic trade policy of high-tech manufacturing products export trade of fixed effects and random effect model coefficients are positive,each increase of the strategic trade policy of government research and development 100% subsidies,high technology industry will optimize the structure of foreign trade 0.0042,that strategic trade policy has positive effect on foreign trade structure change of high-tech manufacturing products;（3）effects of strategic trade policy on the high technology manufacturing industry trade structure is not the same,the obvious promotion of pharmaceutical manufacturing and the industry of foreign trade export industry structure optimization has the function,the instrument of the export trade structure optimization has obvious.But it has no significant effect on the optimization of export structure of medical equipment and equipment manufacturing.On this basis,the author puts forward some suggestions to promote China＇s strategic trade policy to optimize the industrial structure,in order to improve the capability of independent innovation of China＇s manufacturing industry,provide a theoretical reference for the optimization of the industrial structure.

关 键 词：制造业 技术创新 战略性贸易政策 产业结构优化 结构指数 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济]